"For the most part, the Republican Party is the only outlet where conservatives have a voice, so we have to use it. But it functions like a rusty knife we use only because we can't cut our steaks with a spoon."- Matthew Rathel

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

The Bell Ain't Tolling for the Republican Party

The public moves back and forth between liberal and conservative values in much the same way a tide beats upon a shoreline. Although those on the far left and many of us on the far right would like to take situational trends and push them out through perpetuity, the truth is that the American people never know what they want and will always listen to the side who complains the most. To the average working and non-working American (though only the former tends to blow in the political winds) the grass is always greener in the picture of America that the non-dominate party paints across newspapers and over cable television. In the information age where all voices can be heard and are often jammed into the ears of the listener, the same tidal ebbs that took 30 years to change in the 20th century now work at a much faster pace.


Does anyone remember the mid-term elections of 2002 when every media outlet from CNN to Fox News and between exclaimed "will the Democratic Party ever gain their strength back after such a blow" and "are Democrats out of touch with the American People?"? Six years ago the Republicans controlled the House, the Senate, and the presidency and commanded a strong majority of the votes of the American people. Today the Republican Party finds itself in voter deficit and the media is asking the same questions of the conservatives as it did of the party that would ultimately regain control of the legislature in 4 short years. But what annoys me is the short-sightedness of those in the media who haven't caught onto the novel nature of the current power struggle between the Republican and Democratic party: the war is being fought with blitzkrieg motility, and projections of political strength beyond a 4-year span ultimately prove futile.


Examine the words of David Brooks in today's edition of the New York Times:
"The trends are pretty clear: rising economic sectors tend to favor Democrats while declining economic sectors are more likely to favor Republicans." Here Mr. Brooks (no pun intended) wishes to frame the current and future elections into a race between the two parties to capture demographics of American society, and what's worse is the he implies that the capture of these groups constitutes an enduring victory such as one might have achieved by capturing a capital city during the Civil War. The truth is that the "rising economic sectors" he speaks of were overwhelming in their support for President Bush in 2004. To say with any level of authority that current alliances will hold up in the future or even in the next 100 days is to show that political science classes have been and currently are operating with out-dated material.

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